Mintscore

Eredivisie · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 07:00 PM

AZvsADO Den Haag

Outcome probabilities

53%
23%
24%
AZ winDrawDen Haag win

AZ

53%

fair odds 1.87

Draw

23%

fair odds 4.42

Den Haag

24%

fair odds 4.18

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.29 - 1.53

Both teams to score

72%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

Under 2.5 goals

27%

Head to head · last 3

2

Wins

1

Draws

0

Losses

8

Goals for

3

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    9.0%
  • #22 - 1
    8.8%
  • #32 - 2
    6.7%
  • #43 - 1
    6.7%
  • #51 - 2
    5.9%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →