Mintscore

Serie A · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 06:45 PM

Parma Calcio 1913vsCagliari Calcio

Outcome probabilities

32%
35%
33%
Parma winDrawCagliari win

Parma

32%

fair odds 3.13

Draw

35%

fair odds 2.90

Cagliari

34%

fair odds 2.98

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.05 - 1.08

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Under 2.5 goals

64%

Head to head · last 4

0

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

4

Goals for

8

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    15.9%
  • #20 - 0
    14.3%
  • #30 - 1
    10.4%
  • #41 - 0
    10.0%
  • #51 - 2
    7.3%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →