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Ligue 1 · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 03:00 PM

Paris Saint-Germain FCvsStade Rennais FC 1901

Outcome probabilities

76%
15%
9%
PSG winDrawStade Rennais win

PSG

76%

fair odds 1.31

Draw

15%

fair odds 6.53

Stade Rennais

8%

fair odds 12.09

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.95 - 0.97

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Under 2.5 goals

25%

Head to head · last 5

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

14

Goals for

6

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 0
    8.6%
  • #23 - 0
    8.5%
  • #32 - 1
    8.4%
  • #43 - 1
    8.2%
  • #51 - 1
    6.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →