Mintscore

Ligue 1 · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 03:00 PM

OGC NicevsFC Lorient

Outcome probabilities

25%
29%
46%
Nice winDrawLorient win

Nice

25%

fair odds 4.06

Draw

29%

fair odds 3.42

Lorient

46%

fair odds 2.17

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.12 - 1.59

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Under 2.5 goals

49%

Head to head · last 5

1

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

9

Goals for

8

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.0%
  • #21 - 2
    9.4%
  • #30 - 0
    8.8%
  • #40 - 1
    8.5%
  • #50 - 2
    8.4%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →