Bundesliga · Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 01:30 PM
1. FC KölnvsTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Outcome probabilities
32%
23%
45%
1. FC Köln winDrawHoffenheim win
1. FC Köln
32%
fair odds 3.12
Draw
23%
fair odds 4.29
Hoffenheim
45%
fair odds 2.24
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.81 - 2.14
Both teams to score
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
Head to head · last 6
2
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
9
Goals for
8
Goals against
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 18.8%
- #21 - 28.0%
- #32 - 27.2%
- #42 - 16.8%
- #51 - 35.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →