Primeira Liga · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 05:00 PM
Vitória SCvsFC Arouca
Outcome probabilities
42%
30%
28%
Vitória SC winDrawArouca win
Vitória SC
42%
fair odds 2.37
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.34
Arouca
28%
fair odds 3.58
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.50 - 1.19
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
Head to head · last 6
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
11
Goals for
8
Goals against
Most likely scorelines
- #11 - 114.3%
- #22 - 19.1%
- #30 - 09.0%
- #41 - 08.0%
- #52 - 07.7%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →