Mintscore

Primeira Liga · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 02:30 PM

CS MarítimovsCasa Pia AC

Outcome probabilities

42%
30%
28%
Marítimo winDrawCasa Pia win

Marítimo

42%

fair odds 2.37

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.34

Casa Pia

28%

fair odds 3.58

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.50 - 1.19

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

Head to head · last 2

0

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

1

Goals for

4

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.3%
  • #22 - 1
    9.1%
  • #30 - 0
    9.0%
  • #41 - 0
    8.0%
  • #52 - 0
    7.7%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →