Mintscore

Primeira Liga · Sunday, August 9, 2026 · 05:00 PM

FC PortovsFC Alverca

Outcome probabilities

75%
21%
Porto winDrawAlverca win

Porto

75%

fair odds 1.34

Draw

21%

fair odds 4.82

Alverca

5%

fair odds 21.92

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.94 - 0.35

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

Head to head · last 2

2

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

4

Goals for

0

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #12 - 0
    19.0%
  • #21 - 0
    18.3%
  • #33 - 0
    12.3%
  • #40 - 0
    11.3%
  • #51 - 1
    8.2%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →